Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.053474 0.057995 0.062569 0.067533 0.072763 0.078101 0.083955
2025-04-13 0.047402 0.054125 0.061158 0.069036 0.077588 0.086565 0.096674
2025-04-20 0.041222 0.049378 0.058176 0.068312 0.079605 0.091742 0.105713
2025-04-27 0.036924 0.046197 0.056480 0.068621 0.082452 0.097615 0.115387
2025-05-04 0.033967 0.044198 0.055827 0.069852 0.086137 0.104288 0.125884
2025-05-11 0.032003 0.043133 0.056062 0.071947 0.090695 0.111885 0.137411
2025-05-18 0.027929 0.039214 0.052656 0.069519 0.089783 0.113040 0.141434
2025-05-25 0.025369 0.036949 0.051052 0.069068 0.091055 0.116616 0.148173
2025-06-01 0.023132 0.034920 0.049587 0.068650 0.092251 0.120018 0.154651
2025-06-08 0.022264 0.034587 0.050182 0.070726 0.096445 0.126980 0.165361
2025-06-15 0.021159 0.033852 0.050196 0.072019 0.099643 0.132733 0.174641
2025-06-22 0.019972 0.032920 0.049885 0.072843 0.102219 0.137715 0.182998
2025-06-29 0.018406 0.031403 0.048773 0.072636 0.103540 0.141243 0.189727
2025-07-06 0.017666 0.031006 0.049125 0.074319 0.107261 0.147754 0.200151
2025-07-13 0.016138 0.029369 0.047712 0.073608 0.107870 0.150377 0.205800
2025-07-20 0.015096 0.028380 0.047133 0.073960 0.109819 0.154660 0.213506
2025-07-27 0.014447 0.027938 0.047283 0.075270 0.113002 0.160499 0.223165
2025-08-03 0.014124 0.027975 0.048098 0.077483 0.117382 0.167880 0.234798
2025-08-10 0.012422 0.025724 0.045523 0.074930 0.115370 0.167051 0.236069
2025-08-17 0.011442 0.024566 0.044481 0.074458 0.116092 0.169699 0.241716
2025-08-24 0.010546 0.023482 0.043495 0.074018 0.116822 0.172334 0.247337
2025-08-31 0.010375 0.023617 0.044344 0.076205 0.121141 0.179665 0.259002
2025-09-07 0.010010 0.023393 0.044627 0.077566 0.124331 0.185534 0.268821